With just three weeks left in the NFL regular season, the MVP race is coming to a thrilling conclusion. Buffalo’s Josh Allen has emerged as a frontrunner, with electric performances fueling the Bills’ success. Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson remains a formidable contender after a dazzling showcase against the Giants, while Saquon Barkley has anchored the Eagles’ remarkable season and could rewrite the record books. Let’s dive into how these stars stack up and what each needs to clinch the coveted MVP title.
Josh Allen, QB, Buffalo Bills
Week 15 Performance: 23-of-34 passing for 362 yards, two touchdowns, 11 carries for 68 yards, and two rushing scores in a 48-42 win over Detroit.
Current MVP Odds: -900 (via ESPN BET)
Allen put on yet another clinic against the Lions, shredding a tough defense with a combination of precision passing, timely scrambles, and sheer willpower. The Bills racked up 559 yards of offense, with Allen accounting for nearly 80% of it. His ability to extend plays, escape pressure, and make game-changing throws has cemented him as one of the league’s premier dual-threat quarterbacks.
The Lions’ aggressive blitz-heavy defense was no match for Allen’s poise. By leveraging play-action and targeting running backs and tight ends, offensive coordinator Joe Brady crafted a game plan that left Detroit scrambling. Allen thrived under these conditions, connecting on 14-of-18 throws against man coverage and converting eight of 10 third-down attempts.
One of the most telling stats? Allen’s QBR under pressure sits at a mind-boggling 89.1 this season—the best in over a decade. His dominance under duress, combined with his knack for producing highlight-reel moments, has made him the player to beat.
Lamar Jackson, QB, Baltimore Ravens
Week 15 Performance: 21-of-25 passing for 290 yards, five touchdowns; six carries for 65 yards in a 35-14 victory over the Giants.
Current MVP Odds: +650 (via ESPN BET)
Jackson continues to redefine what it means to be a complete quarterback. Against the Giants, he delivered a near-flawless performance, throwing five touchdown passes while orchestrating five consecutive scoring drives. Despite a shaky start, Jackson quickly found his rhythm, dismantling New York’s defense with pinpoint accuracy and lethal downfield passing.
Under new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, Jackson’s mechanics and consistency have reached new heights. He currently leads the league in QBR on throws of 10 or more air yards and ranks first in QBR from inside the pocket—areas where critics have historically questioned his game.
While Jackson’s numbers this season surpass those from his 2019 MVP campaign, voter perception remains a hurdle. Losses to top teams like the Steelers and Eagles have fueled a narrative that Jackson struggles against elite competition. However, if he dominates in upcoming matchups, particularly against division rivals, he could push Allen for the top spot.
Saquon Barkley, RB, Philadelphia Eagles
Week 15 Performance: 19 carries for 65 yards, two catches for nine yards in a 27-13 win over the Steelers.
Current MVP Odds: +1500 (via ESPN BET)
Although Barkley’s Week 15 showing wasn’t headline-grabbing, his role in the Eagles’ 10-game win streak cannot be overstated. Leading the league in rushing yards and carrying an offense that thrives on balance, Barkley has a chance to break long-standing records.
Through 15 weeks, Barkley has outpaced all running backs in rushing yards over expectation (RYOE) and success rate, proving his ability to turn plays into consistent gains. However, MVP voters often prioritize quarterbacks unless a running back achieves historic milestones. For Barkley, surpassing Eric Dickerson’s single-season rushing record of 2,105 yards might be the key to serious MVP consideration.
Who’s the Favorite?
While the MVP race isn’t officially decided, Allen has the edge with three games remaining. His performances have been jaw-dropping, and his ability to deliver in high-stakes matchups sets him apart. Jackson is still in the mix and has the potential to surge if the Ravens win out and he dazzles against playoff-caliber opponents. Barkley, on the other hand, needs a historic finish to make his case.
With Allen already leading a division-winning team and breaking records, he’s the clear frontrunner. But as the NFL has shown us time and again, anything can happen in these final weeks.
Playoff Picture at a Glance
As we near the postseason, both conferences are taking shape. The Chiefs, Bills, and Texans have secured division titles in the AFC, while the Lions, Eagles, and Vikings lead the NFC pack. Still, wild-card spots and divisional races remain up for grabs, promising a dramatic finish to the regular season.
Key Dates to Watch
- Wild Card Round: January 11-13, 2025
- Divisional Round: January 18-19, 2025
- AFC/NFC Championships: January 26, 2025
- Super Bowl LIX: February 9, 2025 (New Orleans)
The journey to Super Bowl LIX promises high-stakes drama, individual brilliance, and unforgettable moments. Whether Allen, Jackson, or Barkley takes home the MVP, fans are in for an electrifying finish to the season.
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